Tag Archives: note

Bitcoin hit 7000 Ethereum hit 201 but note cancelled FIbonacci webinar tomorrow

Bitcoin went from 5500 to 7000 USD in less than a week. That is a 27% rise! I analyze the other big 2 including ETH and XRP. See my discovery in this video as well

You really want to miss out on this next big move opportunity could have with Bitcoin? You might want to get that right away

https://quantlabs.net/blog/2019/05/bitcoin-hit-7000-ethereum-hit-201-while-ripple-too-volatile/

IMPORTANT NOTE:

I will be cancelling tomorrow webinar on Fibonacci levels due to very painful ear infection I have over the last few days. Sorry about that.

Thanks Bryan

 

 

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New review API update note for Oanda and Dukascopy forex trading brokers

New review API update note for Oanda and Dukascopy forex trading brokers

I explain it all in my video below

Video links:

https://www.oreilly.com/learning/algorithmic-trading-in-less-than-100-lines-of-python-code

https://www.quantstart.com/articles/Forex-Trading-Diary-1-Automated-Forex-Trading-with-the-OANDA-API

http://developer.oanda.com/rest-live/sample-code/

http://developer.oanda.com/rest-live/introduction/

https://github.com/oanda

https://www.oanda.com/register/#/sign-up

https://www.dukascopy.com/swiss/english/forex/api/jforex_api/

 

 

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Note on Futures price forecasting with technical analysis vs fundamentalist

Note on Futures price forecasting with technical analysis vs fundamentalist

This is from my Future and options course. This is a good reason why I prefer fundamentalist where those who forecast on past pricing don’t do well long term

 

This revolves around the role of speculators

 

Fundamental analysis includes:

Supply and demand factors

Intrinsic value

Probability of a price move

 

Technical analysis:

Studies the market itself

Ignore supply and demand

 

Theory of random walk:

Says a price change from day today average zero

Price changes a random so you can’t predict the future from the past

Pt=Pt-1 + et where Pt is today’s price and et is an error term . It also works off of yesterday’s price.

E(et)=0 third term is expected to be unbiased so

E(Pt-Pt-1) = E(et)=0

 

You will not make money long-term as a technician due to the markets are way too efficient

 

Random walk Theory  says how a stochastic price will move through time. In the markets you cannot predict forthcoming prices on past prices because prices are random.

Is the expected in return is to be zero, expected price of today and yesterday difference should be zero. Essentially the markets are unpredictable.

 

Efficient markets fully reflect all available supply and demand information

In reality market seem to be partially efficient

Markets reflecting perfect information reflect influences other than fundamental information

 

Partially efficient markets

To beat the market a traitor must: use existing information in some way other than the market does

Interpret existing information were actually in the market

To submit changes and non informational aspects of the market

 

Difficulty of fundamental analysis:

What is a fact?

Hog and pig reports

USDA crop forecasts

Orange juice

 

Amount date it is overwhelming

Sucks or soon discounting the price old adage is by the room and so the fact

 

Difficulty of fundamental analysis:

What is fact?

New York oil prices search past $32 little downside seen August 5, 2003

Oil prices move Laura supply concerns Linder August 8, 2003

Rising crude oil futures read the prices at the pump August 10, 2003

Oil futures rises rock Nigeria sparks apply for years August 18, 2003

Oil futures Laura rock shrugged off US crude build I August 20, 2003

 

 

What is a fundamentalist?

Fundamentalist breaks all information into supply and demand

Supply and demand elasticity’s become important. E.g. weather affects on the coffee prices. Four instance, cold weather in Brazil in July and August can demolish the coffee crop in the world’s largest coffee producing nation and demand for coffee is inelastic. If you keep buying the commodity regardless of the price of it.

 

Purchasing power parity

PPP is a long run theory based on law of one price

Hamburger index illustrates this:

US price of big mac equals $2.30

Big Mac is produced and 68 countries

Big mac indexes a guide to whether currencies are at the correct level

Join my FREE newsletter to see why I like to focus on fundamentalist

 

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Note on an Options Contract

Note on an Options Contract

This is the third video from that course

Holder of the futures contract has the obligation to either deliver or accept delivery of the underlying assets are instrument to settle a cash price. Some allow delivery some do not. The holder of an option has a right to but not the obligation to either buy or sell the underlying futures contract.

Short=sell
Long=buy

If you sell option we need to provide the futures position if the option is exercised.
The risk is lower for those of buy options versus those up buy futures. Pay for the premium and that is the most u risk with options. If you buy or long a futures contract. With an option you know the amount that you’re putting at risk. Futures have unlimited risk.

Call option gives the buyer the right but not the obligation to purchase a futures contract at a specified strike price and during a specified time.

Put option gives the buyer the right not the obligation to sell futures contract that I specified strike price and during a specified time.

Join my FREE newsletter to learn more about this powerful options and futures course

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Note to thyself for quant anlytics TOP 3 strategies: ARIMA, Pairs Trading, Moving averare

As per this survey:

http://quantlabs.net/surveys/2012/06/29/what-financial-forecasting-model-type-do-you-focus-on-within-r-or-other-statistical-tool/

These are three I am going to initially focus on:

ARIMA-currently being worked on but still heavily until quant analysis through time series

Moving Average-pretty popular technical strategy that people get, looks easy to implement

Pairs Trading-same reasons as moving average

The other strategies listed are pretty advanced which are heavy math based and really use for quant analytics. This could take months to get to this point.

Learn more what I do with this all this at http://quantlabs.net/membership.htm

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NOTE I now post my TRADING ALERTS into my personal FACEBOOK ACCOUNT and TWITTER. Don't worry as I don't post stupid cat videos or what I eat!

Note: MongoDB Open Source Database – Toronto Meetup

Note: MongoDB Open Source Database – Toronto Meetup

Hey Bryan,

I’m hosting a Free event dedicated to the open source database, MongoDB sponsored by my company 10gen. If you’re unfamiliar, MongoDB is a database that’s used by hundreds of startups around the globe, like foursquare, chartbeat, wordnik, github, showclix–and a few fortune 500 companies. MongoDB is awesome for startups because it’s an agile, open source solution that’s easy to scale out.

We are bringing some engineers down to Toronto on August 2nd to do a meetup, since the enthusiasm for MongoDB was so infectious in other cities. I’ve been trying to spread the word, and I’d love some help! we’d love to help startups grow in Toronto and we think MongoDB is the way to go for keeping your data! Would you be able to help me spread the word!

Here are the details

Here is the link: http://www.10gen.com/events/mongodb-toronto

Here are the details: August 2nd, 6-10 PM
Longbranch Co-Working Space
3299 Lake Shore Blvd. W.
Toronto, ON M8W 1M8

Thanks for your help!! Cheers!

Amy

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NOTE I now post my TRADING ALERTS into my personal FACEBOOK ACCOUNT and TWITTER. Don't worry as I don't post stupid cat videos or what I eat!

Check out My Notes On The Green Mountain Class Action Lawsuit

Check out My Notes On The Green Mountain Class Action Lawsuit

http://seekingalpha.com/article/506451-my-notes-from-the-green-mountain-class-action-lawsuit

 

==

Interesting article Yaron, thanks.

When do you expect this class action be resolved and what material effect exactly should it have on earnings?

 

==

These class actions usually take a few years to settle, and even longer to actually pay investors. The settlement is usually paid by an E&O insurance company with the policy holding company only paying a deductible, so to limit effect on earnings. If there is a restatement of earnings required by the court, regulator or shareholders than effect on earnings could be dramatic. Its not neccessarily the settlement or financial remuneration that would effect earnings, but rather how we get there.

 

==

Couldn’t we still see some good earnings from them before a re-statement sometime in the future?

 

==

sure you can, but why would anyone invest into a situation that has a ticking time bomb?

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NOTE I now post my TRADING ALERTS into my personal FACEBOOK ACCOUNT and TWITTER. Don't worry as I don't post stupid cat videos or what I eat!

It amazes a simple note can make any open source project usable and valuable

It amazes a simple note can make any open source project usable and valuable

Some open (or majority) of open source source project suck donkey balls if there is no proper documentation or community support. One effort from one user can make a huge difference. It makes any project valuable useful. I base this off my experience with people need to document stuff if you want to keep open source software free. If you don’t,  you are just a greedy little thief.

HOW DO YOU START A PROFITABLE TRADING BUSINESS? Read more NOW >>>

NOTE I now post my TRADING ALERTS into my personal FACEBOOK ACCOUNT and TWITTER. Don't worry as I don't post stupid cat videos or what I eat!