Tag Archives: Debt

A Reality Check for Emerging Market Debt Crisis

Reality Check for Emerging Market Debt Crisis

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When you watch this video. I ask these questions:

  1. Do you shutdown your entire automated trading strategy once your daily target is met? Do you ignore any up market trading session to retain your daily profit? Probability says you could lose it.
  2. Do you start up your automated trading strategy once the risk allows it where the crypto currency allows?

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When you watch this video. I ask these questions
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Reality Check for Emerging Market Debt Crisis

(Last Updated On: September 21, 2018) 

Here was a question about the current emerging market crisis coming out of Argentina and Turkey. There also seems to be an unknown crisis happening with India which is not getting a lot of news. The rupee was at a low recently.

Now the question

QUESTION:  Hello Martin … I follow emerging markets closely and one thing I note is that the size of the sovereign forex-denominated debt burdens are quite small relative to GDP except in the case of Argentina (48%). Everybody else, including Turkey and Indonesia) is 11% or less. How can you have a debt crisis if everybody is clearly able to service their debts? That’s what confuses me. Today the Bloomberg EM dollar debt index is at 6.05% — whereas in 1998 it was 17%! That is saying the risk is still fairly subdued no?

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NOTE I now post my TRADING ALERTS into my personal FACEBOOK ACCOUNT and TWITTER. Don't worry as I don't post stupid cat videos or what I eat!

Reality Check for Emerging Market Debt Crisis

 

Here was a question about the current emerging market crisis coming out of Argentina and Turkey. There also seems to be an unknown crisis happening with India which is not getting a lot of news. The rupee was at a low recently.

Now the question

QUESTION:  Hello Martin … I follow emerging markets closely and one thing I note is that the size of the sovereign forex-denominated debt burdens are quite small relative to GDP except in the case of Argentina (48%). Everybody else, including Turkey and Indonesia) is 11% or less. How can you have a debt crisis if everybody is clearly able to service their debts? That’s what confuses me. Today the Bloomberg EM dollar debt index is at 6.05% — whereas in 1998 it was 17%! That is saying the risk is still fairly subdued no?

Answer here: https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/international-news/emerging-markets/emerging-market-debt-crisis-a-reality-check/

NOTE I now post my TRADING ALERTS into my personal FACEBOOK ACCOUNT and TWITTER. Don't worry as I don't post stupid cat videos or what I eat!