Can mixture models to predict market bottom work?
WTF is this so watch to learn
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Can Google really predict the markets? Can they beat them? I think so since they own the world many times over. They say machine learning has conquered all application except capital markets. So do remember that these systems are basically designed by a human with trading rules and logic in mind.
Check out this video on the claim of Google beating the markets
This video just focuses on sentiment analysis with trading volume. It is no different than using Twitter with what people say on a company or product. How genius?
Just remember your trading needs to be focused on fundamental analysis since the markets worked that way for decades before electronic trading came along. People with fancy degrees seem to forget that.
This Monday I will be going over how to analyze the most critical factors of futures trading with financial instruments. This includes Treasury, Eurodollar, and Yen future example. This is important to understand how they change at the unit level as well as understanding how they impact market direction. If you don’t get this, you might as well pack up your toys and go home. You will not fully understand the critical underlying elements of how ALL major global markets work. It is NOT about following little pretty charts called technical analysis from historical data
I will provide this LIVE lesson only the one time but you do need to watch the required video to understand this discussion. You will not want to miss it!! As a result, you need to get signed up as soon as possible.
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Thanks for reading
Bryan
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Predict financial markets with algos
Another presentation Dr. Lipa Roitman
How Can We Predict The Financial Markets By Using Algorithms? University Lecture By Dr. Lipa Roitman
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This Wired article still does not convince me you can accurately predict the stock market via moods on Twitter
It could be based on market momentum for all I know but I promised myself I will not enter into these debates. Thanks to some guy on Skype
http://www.wired.com/2010/10/twitter-crystal-ball/
This was started by this article
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Hi there
I have listed the login detail id for tonite’s Meetup webinar. As I am using government data resources for generating trading idea, I have come across som interesting simple trends that could change your life in a VERY PROFITABLE WAY. I want to discuss these and see what you use from a group perspective.
European stock view with liquidity shortfall liquidity risk so you cannot automate trade with
Importance of government source data with hidden profitable gems with long short spread trading idea
The relationship between US ISM PMI can help forecast stock market direction for juicy profit
Pow wow: Can you use government source data to predict the markets for profit?
http://www.meetup.com/quant-finance/events/214210252/
http://www.meetup.com/R-Matlab-Users/events/214210572/
I have created a forum posting to discuss this further for those that cannot attend tonite: http://quantlabs.net/academy/forum/traders-in-your-local-area/discuss-here-if-you-use-government-data-for-your-profitable-trading-ideas/#p681
1. Please join my meeting, October 27, 2014 at 7:00 PM Eastern Daylight Time.
https://global.gotomeeting.com/join/263049661
2. Use your microphone and speakers (VoIP) – a headset is recommended. Or, call in using your telephone.
Dial +1 (805) 309-0012Access Code: 263-049-661Audio PIN: Shown after joining the meeting
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Seriously, can you monitor searches on Google for the new way to reliably predict stock market activity?
As usual, it seems these fools never mention on how Google Trends has severely limited ways to use the service in including the number of requests. I am sure they will sell you something
http://blogs.terrapinn.com/total-trading/2014/09/19/google-trends-conquer-stock-market/?utm_campaign=Total%20Trading%2023102014.html&utm_medium=email&utm_source=Eloqua
Join my FREE newsletter to see proper ways to predict the markets
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Discussion about machines learning cannot predict the markets because it’s random, pure math can help but NOT guarantee – See more at: https://quantlabs.net/blog/2014/06/discussion-about-machines-learning-cannot-predict-the-markets-because-its-100-random-pure-math-can-help-but-not-guarantee/#sthash.lnK5TAPe.dpuf
After discussing with REAL PROFITABLE LONG TERM TRADERS, they don’t use machine learning and genetic programming. Here is one discussion:
Discussion about machines learning cannot predict the markets because it’s 100% random, pure math can help but NOT guarantee – See more at: https://quantlabs.net/blog/2014/06/discussion-about-machines-learning-cannot-predict-the-markets-because-its-100-random-pure-math-can-help-but-not-guarantee/#sthash.lnK5TAPe.dpuf
” no one knows, many fail. i only follow one person but just that simple video will make you rethink on all machine learning mumbo jumbo”
Listen, I purposely posted a video about the gamblers fallacy which a machine cannot really adjust for since the markets are 100%. I could be wrong but you know, I DO THINKTHERE ARE MORE IMPORTANT WAYS TO FORECAST THE MARKETS. I call it pure math and that is what I am learning through Khan Academy.
Also, check out the Elite Trader link in this link as well:
Do neural networks and genetic programming really work to forecase the markets? | Quant Academy Trading Ideas | – See more at: http://quantlabs.net/academy/forum/quant-academy-forum/do-neural-networks-and-genetic-programming-really-work-to-forecase-the-markets/#sthash.XrW3ryLd.dpuf
Just my thought, but I am not going to really dwell all this machine learning. I got higher priority areas I am interested in!
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Bryan
HOW DO YOU START A PROFITABLE TRADING BUSINESS? Read more NOW >>>
NOTE I now post my TRADING ALERTS into my personal FACEBOOK ACCOUNT and TWITTER. Don't worry as I don't post stupid cat videos or what I eat!
Discussion about machines learning cannot predict the markets because it’s 100% random, pure math can help but NOT guarantee
A discussion from someone online through Facebook:
i think you will like this article if you didn’t see it yet……i know i did….Microsoft is really up’ing the ante to compete with players in the cloud such as Amazon http://techcrunch.com/2014/05/12/microsofts-visual-studio-adds-support-for-building-cross-platform-hybrid-apps-with-apache-cordova/
Microsoft’s Visual Studio Adds Support For Building Cross-Platform Hybrid Apps With Apache…
techcrunch.com
thanks for sending
June 2nd, 4:05pm
Bryan, I think these are two huge notable breakthroughs as well, which have garnered by curiosity today.
http://venturebeat.com/2014/06/02/apple-announces-ios-8-adds-interactive-notifications-and-osx-integration/ http://thenextweb.com/apple/2014/06/02/apple-announces-swift-new-programming-language-ios/
Apple announces iOS 8: Adds interactive notifications and OSX integration
venturebeat.com
Apple’s releasing waves of new stuff at WWDC this week in San Fran conference
Apparently you can kick off processes and move them over your laptop or desktop running OS X from your iPhone on iOS
not sure much on their new programming language, but I am going to be looking at the claimed features and improvements or what its offering probably later tonight
live blog of every update as well http://techcrunch.com/2014/06/02/apple-wwdc-2014-keynote-live-blog/
Apple WWDC 2014 Keynote Live Blog | TechCrunch
techcrunch.com
June 2nd, 11:12pm
meh on the updates
41 minutes ago
breaking news………http://techcrunch.com/2014/06/16/microsoft-announces-azure-ml-cloud-based-machine-learning-platform-that-can-predict-future-events/?ncid=fb&utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=fb&utm_content=FaceBook
Microsoft Announces Azure ML, Cloud-based Machine Learning Platform That Can Predict Future…
techcrunch.com
competition against IBMs Watson
http://azure.microsoft.com/en-us/campaigns/machine-learning/
Machine Learning | Microsoft Azure
azure.microsoft.com
quant potential?
$100 say none
don’t do machine learning nor do i
http://www.zdnet.com/microsoft-readies-public-preview-of-cloud-based-machine-learning-service-7000030579/
Microsoft readies public preview of cloud-based machine-learning service | ZDNet
www.zdnet.com
its what bing and xbox live is based off of
code corrects itself by understanding the language itself
ok and …??? Machine learning is a fools game
market forecasting is based off math and that is all
but the machine learns on its own
If machines can learn how to forecast complex situations like market trends and solutions to medical problems, teaching itself how to write C to fix its own bugs etc will be easy. Same with configuring itself.
seriously, don’t be an one of those idiots i just learned this
Critical Thinking Part 5: The Gambler’s Fallacy
www.youtube.com
even my friend on wall st whose a partner believes all trading will be based on it eventually
let them think what they will but when the next 2008 hits? will he be still standing?
ya but thats just because machine learning isnt science yet
it will probably be eventually
people just have to prove it
like any other thing where a load of people call u crazy
i don’t think as the markets are totally random, if it was truly predictable, we would all be millionaires
and then ya its a tough roa
no one knows, many fail. i only follow one person but just that simple video will make you rethink on all machine learning mumbo jumbo
This discussion went on and on, but ….
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My review of Matlab system identification to predict forex and stock market for trading
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HI there
I have never posted as many videos in one day as I have done yesterday. I am covering the various topics in market prediction, forecasting, simulation, and analysis with the Matlab Econometrics toolbox.
Do realize each posting does get a treatment of a source code walkthrough video with the corresponding Matlab M script. Interested?
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Remember all of this is EXCLUSIVE only to my QuantLabs.net Premium Members.
Here is a video I posted:
Youtube video on complete GARCH market forecasting overview with Matlab preview video and source code sample
Here are some topics I have posted.
How to import forex pair into Matlab workspace using Excel and IQFeed
Comparing GARCH models within Matlab Econometrics toolbox
Demo of complete GARCH workflow in estimation, forecasting, simulation, and analysis
Demo of Unit Root testing for stationary time series in Matlab
Demo of random walk in Matlab
Comparing GARCH fits in Matlab
Model construction with GARCH in Matlab
Model section using GARCH / ARMAX in Matlab
There are many more topics coming over the next few days to weeks. I am also holding live Q&A webinars for my members on these. These are the exact techniques and tools that real professional traders in enterprise institutions like banks or hedge funds are using.
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There are so many more benefits in being a QuantLabs.net Premium Members. Go here for the complete list.
Thanks Bryan
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NOTE I now post my TRADING ALERTS into my personal FACEBOOK ACCOUNT and TWITTER. Don't worry as I don't post stupid cat videos or what I eat!
