Tag Archives: ARMA

Matlab Econometrics analysis done predicting forex and markets using GARCH, ARMA, regression, unit root, random walk, and volatility

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Hi there

I have completed the Matlab Econetrics analysis of all possible M scripts for marketing forecasting.

Here are the latest and complete  postings on GARCH, ARMAX, regression, and lots more:
    
Complete getRet Matlab M function to load returns of AUD USD forex tick flat file

Comparing GARCH models within Matlab Econometrics toolbox

Demo of complete GARCH workflow in estimation, forecasting, simulation, and analysis

Demo of Unit Root testing for stationary time series in Matlab

Demo of random walk in Matlab
    
Comparing GARCH fits in Matlab

Model construction with GARCH in Matlab

Model section using GARCH / ARMAX in Matlab

Volatility Simulation with GARCH in Matlab

Using ARMA in Matlab

Comparing various GARCH parameters in Matlab

Estimating GARCH parameters in Matlab

Forecasting with GARCH for predicting the markets
    
Using regression demo for fine tuning your estimating the markets
    
Using regression for estimating the markets
    
Forecast Conditional Mean Response using ARIMA

How to infer residuals with GARCH or ARMAX in Matlab

Check them out. Also, I am planning a live webinar next week for all the topic covered until that point. There are lots of topics to cover in the coming weeks as I am now attacking Matlab Financial toolbox.

Bryan

 

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Latest batch of optimitals ways to predict the markets using GARCH, ARMA, etc

HI there

I have never posted as many videos in one day as I have done yesterday. I am covering the various topics in market prediction, forecasting, simulation, and analysis with the Matlab Econometrics toolbox.

Do realize each posting does get a treatment of a source code walkthrough video with the corresponding Matlab M script. Interested?

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Remember all of this is EXCLUSIVE only to my QuantLabs.net Premium Members.

Here is a video I posted:

Youtube video on complete GARCH market forecasting overview with Matlab preview video and source code sample

https://quantlabs.net/blog/2013/03/youtube-video-on-complete-garch-market-forecasting-overview-with-matlab-preview-video-and-source-code-sample/

Here are some topics I have posted.

How to import forex pair into Matlab workspace using Excel and IQFeed

Comparing GARCH models within Matlab Econometrics toolbox

Demo of complete GARCH workflow in estimation, forecasting, simulation, and analysis

Demo of Unit Root testing for stationary time series in Matlab

Demo of random walk in Matlab

Comparing GARCH fits in Matlab

Model construction with GARCH in Matlab

Model section using GARCH / ARMAX in Matlab

There are many more topics coming over the next few days to weeks. I am also holding live Q&A webinars for my members on these. These are the exact techniques and tools that real professional traders in enterprise institutions like banks or hedge funds are using.

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Thanks Bryan

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Youtube video on Analyzing Garch and arma forecasting trading models thanks to Matlab

Youtube video on Analyzing Garch and arma forecasting trading models thanks to Matlab

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NOTE I now post my TRADING ALERTS into my personal FACEBOOK ACCOUNT and TWITTER. Don't worry as I don't post stupid cat videos or what I eat!

ARMA forecasting model within Excel? More Q & A on using Excel VBA for quant development? Stick with C++, R,, or Matlab for HFT #excel

ARMA forecasting model within Excel?  More Q & A on using Excel VBA for quant development? Stick with C++, R,, or Matlab for HFT #excel

From a visitor query:
Responses below followed by –>
> Hey Bryan,
>
> How’s it going? I’m really interested in joining quantlabs; however,
> I wanted to ask you a couple of questions… In regards to my
> programming skills, they are pretty limited and extend to excel/vba
> right now, is this adequate for someone who is looking to learn stat
> arb/pairs trading (specifically intraday)? I know you focus a lot on
> C++,R and Matlab; however, i was wondering i could make some quant
> systems work with excel/vba if not which of those 3 progamming
> languages which you suggest is easiest for a retailer to learn?

–> Excel/VBA is very limiting and slow. R/Matlab with C++ or Java opens up your choices. Also, I don’t believe in black box technology as I like having source code for end to end control In terms of priority, I would focus on R as that can advance very quickly with the ability to call C++ inline from R if needed.
Do realize professional quants spent 90% of their time in coding in these technologies.
I saw
> in one of your youtube blogs that you touched on ARMA, I was wondering
> if being a member of quantlabs, you could help members build ARMA
> models in excel..?

–> MY priority is always for C++ and R. You may find some Excel files under http://www.quantcode.com/modules/mydownloads/viewcat.php?cid=9 but I cannot guarantee the quality of the code.

Do you currently trade intraday as a quantitative
> retailer?

I am right now focusing on technology and strategies. I do have a connection test into Interactive Brokers with my C++ HFT platform which I am building. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mwpXw08X2fE
So I am not actively trading right now until these are built and profitbly working.

I have always wondered what it would be like going down this
> route and I would love to hear from your end.
>
> I couln’t make it out to the last meeting you had at milestones;
> however, I would love to come out to the next one, I was wondering once I start paper trading
> when it is…?

–> My next Meetup in Toronto is Nov119.

Nov Meetup Social in North York-R and C++ HFT platform blabbing session?

Monday, Nov 19, 2012, 7:00 PM

13 Members Went

Check out this Meetup →

I hope these answer your questions.

>
> Kind Regards,
>

See how I do stuff by joining my frequently sent QuantLabs.net Premium membership 

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NOTE I now post my TRADING ALERTS into my personal FACEBOOK ACCOUNT and TWITTER. Don't worry as I don't post stupid cat videos or what I eat!

Video posted on How to automatically best fit R model and implement ARIMA, AR(p,q) ARMA autoregressive simulation against a time series

Video posted on How to automatically best fit R model and implement ARIMA, AR(p,q) ARMA autoregressive simulation against a time series

This has been posted for my Premium Members but you can get access here!

HOW DO YOU START A PROFITABLE TRADING BUSINESS? Read more NOW >>>

NOTE I now post my TRADING ALERTS into my personal FACEBOOK ACCOUNT and TWITTER. Don't worry as I don't post stupid cat videos or what I eat!

Live demo event: How to automatically best fit R model and implement ARIMA, AR(p,q) ARMA autoregressive simulation against a time series

Live demo event: How to automatically best fit R model and implement ARIMA, AR(p,q) ARMA autoregressive simulation against a time series

For tonite Oct 23 at 7pm EST

This is pretty well our first compete end to end R script strategy that includes real world market data capture, parallelizing processes with a complete model with plotting. As ARIMA is one of the most popular forecasting model types out there, I look at the various types of parameters used in auto-regression with p (AR)and q (moving average) parameters. I also show a custom function that can be used to auto fit this including parallelizing. It is important when to test for a stationary time series and when to differentiate it. I also show which R package to use to run an ARIMA processed simulation with proper prediction. End result plots are also generated.

Login details:

Get access here right away for this live event here!!  Many more are coming!

HOW DO YOU START A PROFITABLE TRADING BUSINESS? Read more NOW >>>

NOTE I now post my TRADING ALERTS into my personal FACEBOOK ACCOUNT and TWITTER. Don't worry as I don't post stupid cat videos or what I eat!

My new R scipt that does ARIMA model forecasting with best ARMA fit for US equity and 32 major trading currency pairs in forex

My new R scipt that does ARIMA model forecasting with best ARMA fit for US equity and 32 major trading currency pairs in forex

I am working on an R script that will do:

1. Calculate best performing US equity is current real time snapshot.

2. Captures market data (forex or equity) instantly i.e. less than 10 seconds for 5+ years tick data

3. AUTOMATICALLY Calculate ARMA best fit parameters

4 Simulate and process ARIMA calculation

5. Predict a certain based on ARIMA data with plots

6. Eventual implementation into Interactive Brokers API using Trade Workstation application for order management system.

NOTE: I will be also building a Redis implementation to handle instant repository needs and clustering capabilities with failover

This is will be a very exciting and could prove to be highly accurate

I will be doing a series of private webinars for my Premium Membership for this but you need to get access to this to be part of those live demo events. .

All events are listed here

Or join my email list for these announcements!

My new R scipt that does ARIMA model forecasting with best ARMA fit for US equity and 32 major trading currency pairs in forex

I am working on an R script that will do:

1. Calculate best performing US equity is current real time snapshot.

2. Captures market data (forex or equity) instantly i.e. less than 10 seconds for 5+ years tick data

3. AUTOMATICALLY Calculate ARMA best fit parameters

4 Simulate and process ARIMA calculation

5. Predict a certain based on ARIMA data with plots

6. Eventual implementation into Interactive Brokers API using Trade Workstation application for order management system.

NOTE: I will be also building a Redis implementation to handle instant repository needs and clustering capabilities with failover

This is will be a very exciting and could prove to be highly accurate

I will be doing a series of private webinars for my Premium Membership for this but you need to get access to this to be part of those live demo events. .

All events are listed here

Or join my email list for these announcements! Fill in the form below

HOW DO YOU START A PROFITABLE TRADING BUSINESS? Read more NOW >>>

NOTE I now post my TRADING ALERTS into my personal FACEBOOK ACCOUNT and TWITTER. Don't worry as I don't post stupid cat videos or what I eat!

Quant analytics: Youtube video demo of how to find Best Fit parameters of ARMA or AR autoregressive for your ARIMA model forecast in R

Quant analytics: Youtube video demo of how to find Best Fit parameters of ARMA or AR autoregressive for your ARIMA model forecast in R

Now you don’t need to manually figure your ARMA set of parameters like AR(1,0) or AR(1,1) or AR(2,2). This can automatically done on the fly by this intelligent R script I found and modified. I also include a private video code walkthrough on how this is done

Get instant access to this now by going here or get the benefits here. 

 

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NOTE I now post my TRADING ALERTS into my personal FACEBOOK ACCOUNT and TWITTER. Don't worry as I don't post stupid cat videos or what I eat!

Checklist video of forecasting with ARIMA: is time series stationary, differentiate, ARIMA(p,d,q), and which ARMA model to use?

 

Checklist video of forecasting with ARIMA: is time series stationary, differentiate, ARIMA(p,d,q), and which ARMA model to use?

This is only available to my Premium Membership but I do talk about what is listed below:

For ARIMA, I demo:

How to know if stationary and differentiate

Which ARIMA(p,d,q) model?

Forecasting Using an ARIMA Model.

Note there is an R Script for this as well!!

Get immediate access to this video now.

 

 

HOW DO YOU START A PROFITABLE TRADING BUSINESS? Read more NOW >>>

NOTE I now post my TRADING ALERTS into my personal FACEBOOK ACCOUNT and TWITTER. Don't worry as I don't post stupid cat videos or what I eat!