Here are some articles on probabilities and statistics with Bitcoin or cryprocurrency. This includes Python and Matlab help:
Look at Trade in the Zone book?
https://forums.bearbulltraders.com/topic/711-why-having-a-daily-profit-target-is-important/
Sort of modest
https://www.quora.com/How-can-I-profit-1-daily-from-Bitcoin-and-crypto-trading
Kelly Criterion alternatives
https://www.quora.com/What-are-the-alternatives-to-the-Kelly-criterion-formula-Sometimes-it-suggests-you-bet-20-of-your-bankroll
Utility theory
Complex https://plato.stanford.edu/entries/rationality-normative-utility/
Poker Probability in Python
https://www.datacamp.com/community/tutorials/statistics-python-tutorial-probability-1
The Statistics of Bitcoin and, Cryptocurrencies
https://core.ac.uk/download/pdf/189169266.pdf <–most sensible guage future moves ?
More detailed:
https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=web&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=2ahUKEwjD5KfQzq7vAhVLiFkKHb0ABSE4ChAWMAB6BAgEEAM&url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.mdpi.com%2F1911-8074%2F10%2F2%2F12%2Fpdf&usg=AOvVaw1Xo8UAMQRRxo_lu1U9YPwA
Google search: matlab bitcoin pricing
https://www.mathworks.com/matlabcentral/answers/481550-efficient-way-to-implement-a-trading-strategy
Forecasting Bitcoin Volatility using Regression Learner App
https://www.mathworks.com/matlabcentral/fileexchange/68801-forecasting-bitcoin-volatility-using-regression-learner-app
Some tough conclusions in a nutshell to prevent going down wasteful rabbit holes
https://hackernoon.com/what-i-learned-trying-to-predict-the-price-of-cryptocurrencies-9v2r32m1
Detailed: https://www.slideshare.net/intotheblock/intotheblock-webinar-predicting-cryptocurrency-prices-using-deep-learning?ref=hackernoon.com
NOTE I now post my TRADING ALERTS into my personal FACEBOOK ACCOUNT and TWITTER. Don't worry as I don't post stupid cat videos or what I eat!