How to find trading opportunity by forecasting volatility using quant analytics?
Forecasting vol can help on risk management and trading on vol related product, like Vol contract or VIX. But how about for an emerging market, like China, very volatile but less derivatives (there’s only index futures and listed option is awaiting approval). How to predict and to analyse vol then make profit from it? More volatile, more risky to trade? Any guideline or practice which can help on find trading opportunity?
I use combination of technical (basic support/resistance, bollinger bands), important economic data/news feed, and quantitative analysis techniques. I also tend to look at indices, commodities, interest rate expectation in tandem.
But beginning to explore other sentimental indicators from twitter links as some funds are making good claims on it.
NOTE I now post my TRADING ALERTS into my personal FACEBOOK ACCOUNT and TWITTER. Don't worry as I don't post stupid cat videos or what I eat!