Tag Archives: analysis

Applied Economic Analysis With R code walkthrough

It seems there are set of R exercises found on R-Bloggers (for R course walkthrough)  if you are interested in studying econometric data. I can find this very useful if you want to focus on forward looking data for proper forecast. I do this as part of my Quant Analytic service you can find below.

https://towardsdatascience.com/bayesian-linear-regression-in-python-using-machine-learning-to-predict-student-grades-part-2-b72059a8ac7e

 

I just posted this old legacy R course if you are interested. This include R code walkthrough. I have many posted on this language here 

Purchase here if interested

http://quantlabs.net/academy/buy-all-of-our-r-courses/

To be quite honest, I am quite surprised on how popular this seems to be among my site visitors.

Note that this is older version of R using version 2.15!

Here are the details with a video at this location

R Course with Technical Analysis

R Course with Technical Analysis

 

Module 1

Technical Analysis in R

 

Technical Analysis in R

Unit 1

30 day moving average function

Unit 2

2 sided moving average for mean rolling window

Unit 3

R Code Walkthrough Improved Moving Average using intra day for Forex data

Unit 4

The improved moving average

Unit 5

R Code Wakthrough Simple Moving Averag Strategy with Volatility Filter

Unit 6

Love level Improved Moving Average functions with testing code

Unit 7

R source code for trading script with update portfolio, position size, MA, cross over, SMA, optimize parameters pt 2

Unit 8

R source code for trading script including MACD, Omega performance, RSI, and Bollinger Band measuring strategy and portfolio performance with plots Pt 3

R Course with Quant including GARCH

 

Module 1

Quant trading in R

 

Quant trading in R

Unit 1

Walthrough Parallel R Model Prediction Building and Analytics

Unit 2

Intro to GARCH forecasting with various R packages

Unit 3

How to use GARCH for predict market movements

Unit 4

How to use GARCH to predict distributions

Unit 5

GARCH trading R script walkthrough with a rolling window

R Course with Quant

R Course with Quant

 

Module 1

Intro

 

Intro

Unit 2

An ARMA model R code walkthrough

Unit 3

Checklist of forecasting with ARIMA: is time series stationary, differentiate, ARIMA(p,d,q), and which AMRA model to use?

Unit 4

R code walkthrough: Detrend to use Auto ARIMA modelling and forecast with statistical data and Ljung BoxTest

Unit 5

My first version of ARIMA R script with Forex data and Equity 1 and 5 min frequency

Unit 6

Bayesian analysis to Compare algorithms with Gibbs

Unit 7

Markov Chain R source code walkthrough

Unit 8

Monte Carlo R Walkthrough Demo

Unit 9

An alternative to running a Monte Carlo simulation

Unit 10

R code walkthrough Mean Absolute Deviation with Efficiency Frontiers Demo

R Course with Mean Reversion and Pair Trading

 

Module 1

Mean Reversion in R

 

Mean Reversion in R

Unit 1

Backtesting a Strategy with Mean Reversion

Unit 2

Mean Reversion Euler with Ornstein Uhlenbeck process

Unit 3

Pairs trading R source code walkthrough with mean reverting logic, spread and beta calculation

Module 2

Pair Trading in R

 

Pair Trading in R

Unit 1

Poor mans Pair Trading with Cointegration R Walkthrough

Unit 2

Pair trading with S&P 500 companies

Unit 3

Pairs trading with testing cointegration

Unit 4

Seasonal pair trading

Unit 5

 

Unit 6

Pairs Trading R Code Walkthrough

Unit 7

Pairs trading with a Hedge Ratio Demo

Unit 8

R Code Walkthrough Back testing with trading pair with CAPM

Unit 9

Gold versus Fear in Cointegration test

R Course with Arbitrage and Volatility

Arbitrage and Volatility

 

Module 1

Arbitrage in R

 

Arbitrage in R

Unit 1

Beating a random walk with arbitrage

Unit 2

Beating a random walk with arbitrage

Unit 3

Time Based Arbitrage Opportunities in Tick Data: Why low latency is needed in HFT?

Unit 4

Building a currency graph with arbitrage

Unit 5

Arbitrage: Modelling returns with CAPM APT aka Abritrage Pricing Theory

Unit 6

Indian equity market index NIFTY anaysis with CAPM vs APT aribitrage pricing theory using PCA and moment analysis

Module 2

Volatility in R

 

Volatility in R

Unit 1

R Code Walkthrough Adding a volatility filter with VIX

Unit 2

R Code Wakthrough Simple Moving Averag Strategy with Volatility Filter

Unit 3

Mean Reverting with Volatility Spike

Unit 4

Trading with GARCH volatility R script walkthrough demo

Unit 5

Jeff Augen volatility spike code

 

Reminder from yesterday. This closes out TONIGHT as well:

 

 

 

This is the your chance to learn about behind the scenes of these trading patterns I presented on Monday night. I have made this replay video now private which means it is only available to my Quant Elite Members. This is a very limited and exclusive offering to access it! I even revealed the source of how the Python code was created to generate them, This will never be seen again after this Friday! It is way too valuable that I don’t need the world to know how these work.

 

This posting will be removed this Friday night Eastern Standard Time (same as NYC)!

 

I Want To Learn Trading Patterns Now

Get your access to this via my 3 month Quant Elite Membership if interested!

 

Please find the upcoming new items I will be adding the next few months for this membership:

 

1. Live Q&A workshop bootcamp for the Python 3 Infrastructure Course for a Primitive Algo/Automtated Trading System

2. Packaged up course of using Dukascopy JForex API for automated forex and CFD trading. (this is partially done now with access for this membership)

3. Daily charting within the Quant Analytics service.

 

Here are the details with benefits of this trial membership

http://quantlabs.net/academy/introduction-quant-elite-membership/

 

REMEMBER: My patterns talk will be removed forever as of Friday!!!

 

Always remember I just created the online store for all other product and services.

I Want to Learn Trading Patterns Now

Please find the upcoming new items I will be adding the next few months for this membership:

 

1. Live Q&A workshop bootcamp for the Python 3 Infrastructure Course for a Primitive Algo/Automtated Trading System

2. Packaged up course of using Dukascopy JForex API for automated forex and CFD trading. (this is partially done now with access for this membership)

3. Daily charting within the Quant Analytics service.

 

Here are the details with benefits of this trial membership

http://quantlabs.net/academy/introduction-quant-elite-membership/

 

RMEMEBER: My patterns talk will be removed forever as of Friday!!!

 

Always remember I just created the online store for all other product and services.

P.S. Let me know if you are interested in an annual term as well.

Buy all of our R courses with R code walkthrough

NOTE I now post my TRADING ALERTS into my personal FACEBOOK ACCOUNT and TWITTER. Don't worry as I don't post stupid cat videos or what I eat!

Complete market analysis for April 13 with new charting for trades

Complete market analysis for April 13 with new charting for trades

 

New charts really help

This is from my new charting where you can find the history of these from Chart Director

I cover all the major stock indexes and sectors via CFD, commodity, and forex pairs. All of this data is from Dukascopy forex broker. I hope you find this useful.

64 bit version Dukascopy Forex tips with Bitcoin crypto addition

NOTE I now post my TRADING ALERTS into my personal FACEBOOK ACCOUNT and TWITTER. Don't worry as I don't post stupid cat videos or what I eat!

market analysis for April 9 LIVE webinar video playback 

 

I thought I would do my first LIVE stream market analysis on Youtube. I am hoping to build a Python infrastructure using the instruction of Python book from QuantStart. Let’s see what happens

Market Analysis for April 9 LIVE webinar video playback

Webinar description: 

Market Analysis for April 9.  This is for all major asset classes including forex, indices, and commodity (with Bitcoin). We can talk about best possible planning for the week. Join me live if you are interested.

 

 

Video courses on Interactive Brokers and Dukascopy forex automated trading

NOTE I now post my TRADING ALERTS into my personal FACEBOOK ACCOUNT and TWITTER. Don't worry as I don't post stupid cat videos or what I eat!

Market analysis: Fed analysis for USA economy outlook April 3

Here is a market analysis for April 3. I have uploaded a Federal Reserve analysis which gives outlook for the USA economy over the next video.

This is an important forward looking economic indicator which means manufacturers maybe losing confidence in their manufacturing outlook moving forward. Everything else is lagging or present day. With the markets pointing down recent, it seems this PMI may confirm that moving forward upward momentum should be question. The video can be found below.

Daily Analysis for April 9 ONLINE Meetup event

Summary Daily Analysis for MONDAY April 9 Meetup event. All the details are listed below.


Market Analysis for April 9

Description

Market Analysis for April 9.This is for all major asset classes including forex, indices, and commodity (with Bitcoin). We can talk about best possible planning for the week. Join me live if you are interested.

Note this will also be streamed live on Youtube.com/quantlabs

 

Time

Apr 9, 2018 7:00 PM Eastern Time (US and Canada)

 


You are invited to a Zoom webinar.

Topic: Market Analysis for April 9


Please click the link below to join the webinar:

https://zoom.us/j/300326730


Or iPhone one-tap :

US: +16465588656,,300326730# or +16699006833,,300326730#

Or Telephone:

Dial(for higher quality, dial a number based on your current location):

US: +1 646 558 8656 or +1 669 900 6833

Webinar ID: 300 326 730

International numbers available: https://zoom.us/u/bfCl4J

Thanks Bryan

 

NOTE I now post my TRADING ALERTS into my personal FACEBOOK ACCOUNT and TWITTER. Don't worry as I don't post stupid cat videos or what I eat!

Market analysis for April 2 with severe down day includes Bitcoin

Market analysis for April 2 with severe downday includes Bitcoin

I did some market analysis yesterday. I must say this is a typical analytical process I intend to go through. After the scripts run against Dukascopy Jforex data, it seems the most logical place to ‘invest/trade’ is the German market index like DAX.

 

The Purpose of this Analysis

The purpose is pretty simple. As I have just introduced the latest course on ‘Python 3 for Infrastructure Algo Trading Components’, there is no reason why should not be learning this to control your ultimate destiny.Here is the direct purchase link:

http://www.quantlabs.net/academy?wp_eStore_buy_now=48

 

Here is that at this link:

http://quantlabs.net/blog/2018/03/deep-dive-analysis-close-100-dukascopy-trading-instrument/

A newer video has been uploaded with yesterday’s analysis which is just over an hour. It does NOT go as deep as I did on March 15. This most recent video will definitely show the shortest drill down to high potential market analysis. Always remember the asset classes have been divided up into commodity (with Bitcoin), forex, and stock indices/ETFs. I have made many past videos on this.

Daily Analysis for April 9 ONLINE Meetup event

Summary Daily Analysis for MONDAY April 9 Meetup event. All the details are listed below.

 

 

Market Analysis for April 9

Description

Market Analysis for April 9. This is for all major asset classes including forex, indices, and commodity (with Bitcoin). We can talk about best possible planning for the week. Join me live if you are interested.

 

Time

Apr 9, 2018 7:00 PM Eastern Time (US and Canada)

 

You are invited to a Zoom webinar.

 

Topic: Market Analysis for April 9

 

Please click the link below to join the webinar:

https://zoom.us/j/300326730

 

Or iPhone one-tap :

US: +16465588656,,300326730# or +16699006833,,300326730#

Or Telephone:

Dial(for higher quality, dial a number based on your current location):

US: +1 646 558 8656 or +1 669 900 6833

Webinar ID: 300 326 730

International numbers available: https://zoom.us/u/bfCl4J

Thanks Bryan

 

 

NOTE I now post my TRADING ALERTS into my personal FACEBOOK ACCOUNT and TWITTER. Don't worry as I don't post stupid cat videos or what I eat!

Virtual Meetup April 9: Live market analysis with Bitcoin on Youtube

Virtual Meetup April 9: Live market analysis with Bitcoin on Youtube

(see below)

Reservation has been made for tonite at Jack Astors’ North York. Do note we will 20 people on the second under reservation of my name.

https://www.meetup.com/quant-finance/events/248571929/

https://www.meetup.com/TOForexTraders/events/248571949/

Next virtual Meetup next in 7 days!

Topic

Market Analysis for April 9

Description

Market Analysis for April 9. I will do a full analysis on all markets using both Technical and Fundamental. This is for all major asset classes including forex, indices, and commodity (with Bitcoin). We can talk about best possible planning for the week. Join me live if you are interested.

Note this will also be streamed live on Youtube.com/quantlabs

Time

Apr 9, 2018 7:00 PM Eastern Time (US and Canada)

Thanks

 

Amazing lessons of latest algo forex trading strategy

NOTE I now post my TRADING ALERTS into my personal FACEBOOK ACCOUNT and TWITTER. Don't worry as I don't post stupid cat videos or what I eat!

Deep dive analysis of close to 100 Dukascopy trading instrument with Bitcoin

Deep dive analysis of close to 100 Dukascopy trading instrument with Bitcoin

Here I put together a 2 + hour video to focus on REAL WORLD market deep dive analysis. I cover asset classes including commodity (with Bitcoin), forex, and equity of indices/ETF. I go through all instruments covered to show breadth of how diverse these are. There are a total of nearly 100 instruments to watch.

Most instruments which have been trending over the years clearly demonstrate they are getting tired.

There are some other instruments showing potential using all the indicators I have talked about recently. Here is where the video is.

Dukascopy instrument list being watched

These are named as according how they are found in the Dukascopy Jforex trading platform. The non forex are always CFD product as explained in the video.

Major commodity

BRENT.CMD/USD,

BTC/USD,

COPPER.CMD/USD,

XAG/USD,

XAU/USD,

GAS.CMD/USD,

TLT.US/USD,

JNK.US/USD,

Indices and ETFs (Equity)

CME.US/USD,

DEU.IDX/EUR,

DB1.DE/EUR,

DIA.US/USD,

EEM.US/USD,

EFA.US/USD,

EMB.US/USD,

ESP.IDX/EUR,

EUS.IDX/EUR,

EWH.US/USD,

EWJ.US/USD,

EWW.US/USD,

EWZ.US/USD,

FRA.IDX/EUR,

GBR.IDX/GBP,

IBB.US/USD,

IJR.US/USD,

 

IVW.US/USD,

IWM.US/USD,

IYR.US/USD,

JPN.IDX/JPY,

LSE.GB/GBX,

SPY.US/USD,

USA30.IDX/USD,

USA500.IDX/USD,

USATECH.IDX/USD,

VEA.US/USD,

XLE.US/USD,

XLF.US/USD,

XLI.US/USD,

XLK.US/USD,

XLP.US/USD,

XLU.US/USD,

XLV.US/USD,

XLY.US/USD,

XOP.US/USD,

 

Forex

AUDJPY

AUDCAD

AUDCHF

AUDNZD

CADCHF

CADHKD

CADJPY

CHFJPY

EURAUD

EURCAD

EURCHF

EURDKK

EURGBP

EURHKD

EURJPY

EURNOK

EURNZD

EURSEK

EURSGD

EURUSD

GBPAUD

GBPCAD

GBPCHF

GBPJPY

GBPUSD

NZDUSD

USDCAD

USDCHF

USDDKK

USDJPY

USDMXN

USDNOK

USDSEK

USDSGD

USDZAR

NOTE I now post my TRADING ALERTS into my personal FACEBOOK ACCOUNT and TWITTER. Don't worry as I don't post stupid cat videos or what I eat!

quant and machine learning useful after this trading backtest

 

 

Is quant and machine learning useful after the test? I made a 35 minute video to showcase my latest results of this forex trading strategy. It uses the combo indicators of moving average cross, statistic number of positive daily returns, and trend. This combo of indicators can be helpful as explained in the video.

NOTE: I have scheduled a webinar to be discussed about this topic. Please find the details below. 

It seems that there is a heavy reliance on these for ‘bottoming’ process or testing of flat lining for breakout potential.

Trade like the Pros

I tried to simulate someone like NicTrades later in my video to showcase potential moves with lower trending currency pairs. In short, it seems everything is about perfect timing. You would use all the mentioned indicators as a set of tools to measure timing and historical value of the price. The idea is obviously to capture breakout opportunities for escape volatility return.

It is time to get into the mind of an institutional pro to see how they decide and filter out the trading opportunities. So the struggle continues….. I find NicTrade is a good analyst to watch to see how it is done.

Overlay with fundamentals?

Some will say the fundamentals are not useful. For instance, you could use central bank guidance and trading/econometrics forward looking date to get currency bias on certain countries. I have many scripts ready to overlay. I just need to get a predictable methodology using the technical analysis.

Is Quant and Machine Learning helpful at this point

Some may argue that quant and machine learning techniques may help in this area. I agree but when you do not have a solid foundation, you will even harder times to forecast the markets. I really don’t want to go down these paths of quant or ML is much harder to figure out.

 

 

Scheduled webinar info

Hi there,

You are invited to a Zoom webinar.
When: Mar 19, 2018 7:00 PM Eastern Time (US and Canada)
Topic: quant and machine learning useful after this trading backtest

Please click the link below to join the webinar:
https://zoom.us/j/556419907

Or iPhone one-tap :
US: +16699006833,,556419907# or +16465588656,,556419907#
Or Telephone:
Dial(for higher quality, dial a number based on your current location):
US: +1 669 900 6833 or +1 646 558 8656
Webinar ID: 556 419 907
International numbers available: https://zoom.us/zoomconference?m=qWa8YsDmCbVsahKNI0p7Ejnd9JYqUR_a

Add OHLC Bar Data To Your Algo Strategy

NOTE I now post my TRADING ALERTS into my personal FACEBOOK ACCOUNT and TWITTER. Don't worry as I don't post stupid cat videos or what I eat!

Updated statistical analysis on many forex pairs

Analysis on many forex pairs: This continues from my latest series videos from the forex data of Feb 21

One person commented on the video below how useless the video was. I must there person is sort of right on the way the content is presented. Do understand this is to how potential of using statistics in your analysis for automated trading.

I am relying on you, my community from all my social media and this newsletter list. I am learn loads from many to improve the process of getting better results and forecasts for my automated trading.

You want to understand what the markets are telling be it technically or statistically. There are many other ways via machine learning or more deep math. I am sure each one will be used for different use cases. As for me, I want to use the ones that will give me optimal trading results in terms of profit.  I am sure you get that.

 

NEW Technical analysis on many forex pairs for Feb 21

NEW moving average Technical analysis on many forex pairshttp://quantlabs.net/blog/2018/02/technical-analysis-on-many-forex-pairs-for-feb-21/

NOTE I now post my TRADING ALERTS into my personal FACEBOOK ACCOUNT and TWITTER. Don't worry as I don't post stupid cat videos or what I eat!

Currency pair LIVE analysis with Technical Indicators for Feb 21

Currency pair LIVE analysis with Technical Indicators for Feb 21

Presenting the 30 minute video and history of this analysis

Here is the new preview for analysis on various currency pairs. This is still being developed but you can use the charts as explain in posts like here and here.

A 30 minute video explains this analysis with rationale on what took me here.

Timeframes include daily,  4 hour and 1 hour. You can use the overall trend to see if there is any upward potential in the pair for potential trading opportunity. If there, you can quickly analyze at lower levels to determine.

I plan to use 3 different moving average cross among different correction patterns to determine potential breakouts If the overall pair has upward trend, to may be a ripe opportunity to put on positions. .

This simple strategy could be applied to other asset classes including ETF/indices, commodity, and larger stock. As you know, Dukascopy provide similar behaviors through these asset classes as they have hinted. The best potential is crypto currency as well. This strategy maybe used at various institutions since the idea came from NicTrades.

 

NOTE I now post my TRADING ALERTS into my personal FACEBOOK ACCOUNT and TWITTER. Don't worry as I don't post stupid cat videos or what I eat!